Bogan’s Money Making Secrets
Chapter 09 of 10

The Markets

Stocks, commodities and FX. The hardest way to make money in this book, and the one that empties the most accounts.

THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. We don’t give financial advice and we’re not licensed to. What follows is a description of how some of us approach the markets and, more importantly, how people lose money in them. Trading involves a real risk of losing more than you put in. Most retail traders lose. Speak to a licensed financial adviser before you risk a dollar.

9.1 The honest bit first

This is the hardest way to make money in this book. So many people lose. That’s not me being modest — it’s the plain numbers, and the brokers themselves are legally required to publish them.

The good news is fellow Bogans do make money here. Our group chats and live broadcasts share what we’re watching, what we’re doing, and why. It’s not financial advice — it’s an ongoing conversation between people putting their own money on the line.

WE DO NOT DAY TRADE

That is the fastest way to lose the lot. The overwhelming majority of day traders lose money, and the ones selling day-trading courses make theirs from the course, not the trading.

We take careful, calculated positions with a tight stop loss and room to run. Fewer trades, better trades, and no need to sit in front of a screen all day.

9.2 Before you open an account

The gate you have to pass

  1. Is your high-interest debt cleared? A credit card at 20% is a guaranteed 20% return when you pay it off. No trade beats guaranteed.
  2. Have you got an emergency fund? Three months of expenses, in cash, boring, untouched.
  3. Is this money you can genuinely afford to lose? Not “would rather not”. Actually lose, entirely, without changing how you live.
  4. Have you paper-traded for three months? Every broker offers a demo account. If you can’t make it work with fake money, real money won’t fix it.

Four yeses or don’t start. There’s no rush — the market will still be there.

9.3 Choosing a broker

Use an ASIC-licensed broker holding an Australian Financial Services Licence. Check the licence number on ASIC Connect yourself — offshore brokers advertising huge leverage are outside Australian protections, and when something goes wrong you have no recourse at all.

On CFDs and leverage

Contracts for difference are heavily marketed to beginners because they’re profitable for the broker. ASIC caps retail leverage precisely because so many people were being wiped out. Brokers must publish the percentage of retail clients who lose money — go and look at that number on any CFD broker’s site before you sign up. It is routinely somewhere around 70–80%.

Leverage doesn’t make you a better trader. It makes the same decisions bigger, in both directions, and it turns a bad week into a closed account.

9.4 Risk management is the whole job

Everyone wants to talk about entries. Entries are the least important part.

RuleWhy
Risk 1–2% of your account per tradeYou can be wrong ten times in a row and still be trading. That’s the entire point
Set the stop loss before you enterDecide while you’re calm. You will not be calm later
Know your exit before your entryBoth exits — the one where you’re right and the one where you’re wrong
Aim for at least 2:1 reward to riskLets you be wrong more often than right and still finish ahead
Never average down a loserThis is how small losses become account-ending losses
Never move a stop loss further awayThat’s not a plan, that’s hope with a spreadsheet
Write down every tradeEntry, exit, size, and why. Your journal will show you the leak
Poida says

The trade that kills you is never the one you planned. It’s the one you took because you were bored on a Tuesday, or angry about the last one, or because someone on the internet was very confident.

No plan, no trade. Say it out loud before you click.

9.5 What we actually trade

The unsexy truth

For most people, a regular monthly amount into a low-cost diversified index fund, left alone for twenty years, will beat what they’d achieve trading actively. It’s dull, it doesn’t make a good story, and it works.

If you want to trade actively as well, do it with a small slice — the part you can genuinely afford to lose — and keep the boring engine running underneath.

9.6 Learning without paying for it

Signal groups and “mentors”

If someone can reliably pick winners, they don’t need your $99 a month. Be particularly wary of: guaranteed returns, screenshots of profits, rented Lamborghinis, “copy my trades” services, and anyone who found you via DM.

A genuine trading community shares reasoning and shows its losses. A scam shows only wins.

That’s the difference between what we do at the School of Bogans and what gets sold to you on Instagram. We show the losers too, because that’s where the lessons are.